마이크론 7.80% 상승 마감(2021.11.19)

2021.11.19

 

유럽의 코로나 확산으로 지수 상승이 지지 부진한 가운데,

마이크론은 11월20일 아침 끝난 미국장에서 7.80% 상승한 83.03달러로 마감하였다.

시가총액은 928.79달러(한화 약 107조원)가 되었다.

(참고로 11월19일 현재 하이닉스의 시총은 81.17조원이다. 이익은 하이닉스가 마이크론보다 더 많이 나는데

   시총은 마이크론의 80% 수준이네요.)

 

마이크론은 지난주 금요일 (11/12) 아메리카 은행의 애널리스트가 디램 가격이 내년 1분기 바닥을 친후

상승할 것이고, 1분기에 현물 가격이 상승할 수도 있다는 긍정적인 의견을 제시한후 3.69% 상승하였다.

( 디램 가격은 내년 1분기 바닥친후 상승할 것(2021.11.13) (tistory.com)   )

 

오늘(11/19) 마이크론은 미국의 3군데 분석 기관에서 매수 의견을 제시한후

1년만에 7.80%의 큰 상승이 나왔다.

 

1.씨티그룹 

Why Micron Stock Popped Friday | The Motley Fool

씨티그룹은 더 많아진 개인용 컴퓨터와 서버수요가 2021년4분기와 2022년1분기에 디램 수요를

증가시킬 것으로 예상했다. 그는 마이크론에 대해서 매수의견을 제시하였다. 목표가 120달러.

 

As Citigroup reports today, the price correction in DRAM "is drawing to a close." 

씨티그룹은 오늘 "디램 가격 조정은 끝나가고 있다"는 보고서 발표.

 

Citigroup made this pronouncement in a note covered on TheFly.com today, noting that higher demand for personal computers and servers is likely to boost demand for DRAM computer memory in Q4 2021 and into Q1 2022. The analyst thinks this will be a "positive catalyst" for Micron stock and thinks Micron is a buy at today's prices.

 

2.에버코어는내년 상반기 디램 가격이 바닥을 칠것으로 예상.

 

Buy Memory Stocks Today and You Won't be Disappointed Says Evercore ISI and Adds Micron (MU)

and Lam Research (LRCX) to Top Picks List.

에버코어는 오늘 당장 메모리 주식을 매수하면 투자자를 실망시키지 않을 것이라고 하면서

마이크론과 램리서치를 최선호 종목으로 추천했다.

 

씨티그룹 뿐만아니라 에버코어도 내년 상반기 디램 가격이 바닥을 칠것으로 예상했다. 

디램 가격이 아직 바닥을 친것으로 볼수없으며 이런 이유로 마이크론은 다른 반도체 주식에 비해

 지난 5개월간 44%가량 못올랐다. 

 

Nor is Citi the only one saying so. In a separate note from StreetInsider.com today, Evercore ISI is quoted as saying it's "game on for memory" as DRAM prices are likely to bottom out in the first half of next year.

 

In Evercore's opinion, therefore, prices haven't quite bottomed out just yet, and that's part of the reason investors haven't returned to the sector yet -- and why computer memory stocks have underperformed other semiconductor stocks by as much as 44 percentage points over the past five months.

 

But that's just what makes stocks like Micron so attractive (in Evercore's opinion)! "Investors are generally eager to get back into memory," argues the analyst, but with prices still falling they're hesitant to buy.

Once it becomes clear that prices have in fact hit bottom, however, the flood of investor dollars into stocks like Micron "will be fast and furious."

마이크론 주식은 현재 매력적이고, 투자자들이 매수하고 싶어 하지만, 하락하는 메모리 가격 때문에

매수를 망설이고 있다.

일단 디램 가격이 바닥을 친것이 확인 된후에는 투자자들의 돈은 매우 빠르고 격렬하게 들어 올것이다.

 

Long story short, buying Micron stock today might feel like buying early -- but it might also be the only way to ensure you catch the train before it leaves the station. It's at $82 and change today, but Evercore sees Micron stock trading up to $100 a share within a year -- a 21% gain -- and is making the stock one of its "top picks" for a 2022 rebound in DRAM prices.

올해 마이크론 주가는 100달러까지 상승할 수있으며, 82달러에 주식을 매수한다면 올해안에 21%의 수익을 얻을 것이다.

 

3, 로젠블라트 증권은 마이크론 목표가 165달러 제시.

1 Semiconductor Stock With 114% Upside, According to Wall Street | The Motley Fool

One Wall Street analytics firm thinks Micron's share price could soar to $165 -- or 114% higher from where it trades today. Yet even if it does, it would still be cheap, at least compared to its peers in the broader sector.

 마이크론 목표가를 165달러로 제시하면서, 설사 그정도까지 못오르더라도 지금 주가는 너무 싸다고

말했다.

 

The company's $5.14 in fiscal 2021 earnings places the stock at a current price-to-earnings multiple of 14.9. The iShares Semiconductor ETF, by comparison, trades at a multiple of over 35. That means if Micron reaches the $165 price target set by Wall Street firm Rosenblatt Securities, it would still be trading at a cheaper valuation than its competitors.

마이크론의 2021년 회계년도 PER는 14.9배로, 이는 필라델피아 반도체지수 PER 35배에 비해 저평가 되었다.

이는 마이크론이 165달러까지 상승할 가능성이 있다고 로젠블라트 증권은 분석하였다.

 

아래는 하이닉스와 마이크론의 주봉 그래프.

둘다 주봉 MACD 골드크로스 발생하고, 20주 이동평균선(빨간색) 위로 올라 온것을 볼 수있다.

 

 

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Why did Micron shares climb almost 8% Friday? | Seeking Alpha

• Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) finished the week with a gain of almost 8% on Friday, as analysts at Citi and Evercore/ISI had some upbeat comments about the semiconductor company and the market for memory chips.
• At Citi, analyst Christopher Danely said in a research note that recent channel checks show there has been some increased demand for DRAM memory among PC makers, and that a pricing correction in the DRAM market is "drawing to a close".

 

• Danely also said the outlook for enterprise server sales in the first quarter of 2022 appears to be better than expected. According to Danely, the server market is improving "due to recent increases in spending from cloud companies such as Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) and Google (NASDAQ:GOOG)". Danely maintained his buy rating and $120-a-share price target on Micron's stock.

 

• Meanwhile, Evercore ISI analyst C.J. Muse added Micron (MU) to his "top picks" list. Muse said that depending on how supply chain shortages work out, Micron's earnings should start to recover after the February or May business quarters.
• Muse also agreed with Danely in that DRAM pricing should start to improve in either first or second quarters of 2021. Muse also set a $100-a-share price target on Micron's stock.
• Earlier this week, hedge fund manager David Tapper's Appaloosa Management said it recently sold off almost 3 million shares of Micron (MU) stock, to leave the fund with 2.75 million shares.

• Read Now: Micron: Higher DRAM Demand Driving Long-Term ASP Growth

 

 

 

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3 Top Chip Stocks Ready for Bull Runs | The Motley Fool

 

3 Top Chip Stocks Ready for Bull Runs

상승할 준비가된 3개의 주식

 

 장비주-->ASML

파운드리--->UMC

메모리---> 마이크론

 

Key Points

• ASML is the world’s most important semiconductor equipment maker.
• UMC manufactures less advanced chips than TSMC, but it’s just as essential to the global semiconductor supply chain.
• Micron could still benefit from a “super cycle” in memory chip upgrades next year.

Motley Fool Issues Rare “All In” Buy Alert

The global chip shortage has been generating strong tailwinds for the semiconductor sector over the past year. However, it might be difficult for investors to separate the winners from the losers if they don't understand how the semiconductor supply chain works.

Today, I'll highlight three chip stocks that operate in very different parts of the semiconductor market, why they're all growing, and why they could still generate even bigger returns next year.

 

1. ASML

ASML Holding (NASDAQ:ASML) is a Dutch semiconductor equipment maker. It's the world's largest manufacturer of lithography machines, which are used to etch circuit patterns onto silicon wafers. It's also the only manufacturer of high-end extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, which are required to manufacture the world's smallest chips.

The world's most advanced chip foundries -- including Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (NYSE:TSM), Samsung, and Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) -- all use ASML's EUV machines, which cost about $150,000 each and require several planes to ship. ASML's dominance of this crucial chipmaking technology, which it refined over the past three decades, makes it a linchpin of the global semiconductor market.

ASML's revenue rose 8% in 2019 and 18% in 2020, and it anticipates about 35% growth this year. It's selling EUV systems as rapidly as it can produce them, and a growing mix of those higher-margin devices boosted its gross margin from 44.7% in 2019 to 52.2% in the first nine months of 2021.

ASML's stock price has more than doubled over the past 12 months, and it isn't cheap at 45 times forward earnings. However, this stock could still have plenty of upside potential as the chip shortage drags on -- since it will be impossible to resolve the crisis without buying significantly more machines from ASML.

2. UMC

ASML's top client is TSMC, the world's largest contract chipmaker and another linchpin of the semiconductor market. However, TSMC's smaller rival United Microelectronics (NYSE:UMC) is a more underrated play on the same trend.

Unlike TSMC -- which manufactures the world's smallest chips for fabless chipmakers like Advanced Micro Devices and Apple -- UMC primarily manufactures older, larger, and cheaper chips for cars, Internet of Things (IoT) devices, and other gadgets.

These chips aren't as powerful as TSMC's top-tier chips, but they're arguably just as essential. UMC's plants are already operating at their maximum capacities, but the company faces less pressure to aggressively upgrade its plants than TSMC, Samsung, or Intel, which are all engaged in the costly "process race" to manufacture smaller and more advanced chips.

UMC ranks a distant third in the foundry market behind TSMC and Samsung, but it still generates impressive growth: Its revenue rose 4% in 2019 and jumped 25% in 2020, and analysts expect 18% growth this year.

UMC's stock has more than doubled over the past 12 months, but it still looks reasonably valued at 22 times forward earnings. Like ASML, UMC will continue to profit from the chip shortage. Moreover, the traffic jam at TSMC and other top foundries could eventually divert more lower-end orders to UMC.

3. Micron

Lastly, I believe Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) -- one of the world's leading producers of DRAM and NAND memory chips -- is currently undervalued at eight times forward earnings. Micron's stock has risen nearly 30% over the past 12 months, but it's stalled out in recent months amid fears of a cyclical slowdown.

마이크론은 현재 주가가 향후 1년간 예상 수익 기준으로 PER가 8배정도로 저평가되어 있다.

 

Micron's revenue fell 8% in fiscal 2020 (which ended last September) as a global glut of memory chips caused market prices to plunge. But in fiscal 2021, its revenue rose 29% as those supplies and prices stabilized.

2020년 마이크론 매출은 메모리 공급과잉으로 메모리 가격이 급락하여 전년대비 8* 감소하였다.

하지만 회계년도 2021년에는 메모리 가격이 상승하여 매출이 전년대비 29% 증가하였다.

 

Micron wasn't directly affected by the chip shortage, since it manufactures its own chips instead of outsourcing them to third-party foundries. However, it expects shortages of other PC components -- including CPUs and GPUs -- to indirectly curb the market's near-term demand for its memory chips. That warning, along with a softer-than-expected forecast for the first quarter, spooked investors last month.

 

Nonetheless, analysts still expect Micron's revenue and earnings to rise 15% and 44%, respectively, this year, as it benefits from the secular expansion of the gaming, data center, cloud, 5G, and automotive markets.

 

Those catalysts might also spark a "super cycle" in memory chip upgrades, which could last much longer than previous cycles and propel Micron's stock to fresh highs next year.

게임,데이터센터, 클라우드, 5G와 자동차 시장의 지속적인 성장이 메모리 슈퍼사이클의 기폭제가 될것이고,

이번 상승 사이클은 이전 사이클보다 더 오래 지속될 것이고, 내년에 마이크론의 주가는 신고가를

이룰 것이다.